Written by Joseph Chin of theedgemalaysia.com
Tuesday, 12 July 2011 13:36
KUALA LUMPUR: YTL Communications Bhd is collaborating with Japan’s UQ Communications to develop and adopt the next generation WiMAX technologies.
YTL Communications, which is part of the YTL Group, said on Tuesday, July 12 both parties would work to develop the 4G ecosystems in Malaysia and beyond.
Both parties are also expected to promote international roaming amongst WiMAX operators worldwide, according to the statement.
They signed an MoU on July 7 in a move to enhance their leadership in 4G and to take WiMAX technologies to the next level.
YTL Communications CEO Wing K. Lee said amongst 4G standards, WiMAX is the most matured and widely adopted in the world.
“The signing marks the next phase in its advancement as we work with UQ Communications, a leader in its own right in one of the most advanced wireless countries in the world, to propagate the adoption of next-generation WiMAX technologies and to foster the development of 4G ecosystems in Malaysia and beyond,” he said.
WiMAX2, the next generation WiMAX standard based on IEEE 802.16m, is an ITU designated International Mobile Telecommunications-Advanced (IMT-Advanced) standard. It performs better than current LTE technologies while maintaining full compatibility with existing WiMAX devices.
Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Sunday, July 10, 2011
YTL Comms confident of WiMAX leadership
By Goh Thean Eu Published: 2011/07/11
KUALA LUMPUR: YTL Communications Sdn Bhd (YTL Comms), a unit of YTL Power Bhd, believes it is only a matter of time before it becomes the clear leader among its WiMAX peers.
Within six months of operations, YTL Comms has signed up more than 200,000 subscribers, a number which took the market leader Packet One Networks (M) Sdn Bhd (or also known as P1) about two years to achieve.
"By end of this year, we see our subscriber base easily doubled from the 200,000 that we have now," said YTL Comms chief executive officer Wing Lee in an interview with Business Times recently.
Despite being the fastest growing WiMAX company in the country, Lee is not satisfied, as he believes the company can perform even better if consumers understand its products.
"I truly believe we need to do a better job in creating the awareness. What we are trying to educate our customers is on the concept of total cost of ownership. It is very important.
"Right now, you have one sim card for a mobile phone, one for broadband dongle, and one for a broadband and voice package for home, you got three to four bills a month, and each bill is RM80-150.
"So, if you look at it at this perspective, the total cost of ownership, you can clearly see that customers can save more by signing up with us, because by going with us, customers are actually getting all these services at-one-go," he explained.
To become a clear leader in this space, it needs to continue with its aggressive marketing campaign as well as ensure that qua-lity of its network remains top-notch. It will also bank on its wide network coverage to woo more customers.
"If you look at our network footprint, we launched with 1200 base station covering 65 per cent of the country's population, and six months later we launched coverage for the entire North South Expressway. This makes us the only company ever in Malaysia's history that has 4G that covers the entire highway.
"This means, we have larger footprint than any of the other WiMAX guys. In my assessment, when we go to places that the other guys cannot go, we should own the market," said Lee.
The company, which has invested more than RM3 billion to cover 65 per cent of the population, currently has about 1,700 base stations, and aims to have some 2,500 base stations by end of this year.
In contrast, its rival P1 aims to have about 1,600 base stations by end of the year.
Although becoming the market leader in the WiMAX space is within reach, Lee believes, with the company's capability and innovation, it can achieve more and give the incumbent mobile operators, who are offering both voice and wireless broadband services, a run for their money.
"We invest a lot of money in this brand new network, because we understand that mobile Internet is the mega-carrier, the mega-wave of new innovations. Our conclusion is voice is one of the things we should do, but there are many other things we will do in the coming months," he said.
 |
Within six months of operations, YTL Comms has signed up more than 200,000 subscribers, a number which took the market leader Packet One Networks (M) Sdn Bhd (or also known as P1) about two years to achieve.
"By end of this year, we see our subscriber base easily doubled from the 200,000 that we have now," said YTL Comms chief executive officer Wing Lee in an interview with Business Times recently.
Despite being the fastest growing WiMAX company in the country, Lee is not satisfied, as he believes the company can perform even better if consumers understand its products.
| |
"Right now, you have one sim card for a mobile phone, one for broadband dongle, and one for a broadband and voice package for home, you got three to four bills a month, and each bill is RM80-150.
"So, if you look at it at this perspective, the total cost of ownership, you can clearly see that customers can save more by signing up with us, because by going with us, customers are actually getting all these services at-one-go," he explained.
To become a clear leader in this space, it needs to continue with its aggressive marketing campaign as well as ensure that qua-lity of its network remains top-notch. It will also bank on its wide network coverage to woo more customers.
"If you look at our network footprint, we launched with 1200 base station covering 65 per cent of the country's population, and six months later we launched coverage for the entire North South Expressway. This makes us the only company ever in Malaysia's history that has 4G that covers the entire highway.
"This means, we have larger footprint than any of the other WiMAX guys. In my assessment, when we go to places that the other guys cannot go, we should own the market," said Lee.
The company, which has invested more than RM3 billion to cover 65 per cent of the population, currently has about 1,700 base stations, and aims to have some 2,500 base stations by end of this year.
In contrast, its rival P1 aims to have about 1,600 base stations by end of the year.
Although becoming the market leader in the WiMAX space is within reach, Lee believes, with the company's capability and innovation, it can achieve more and give the incumbent mobile operators, who are offering both voice and wireless broadband services, a run for their money.
"We invest a lot of money in this brand new network, because we understand that mobile Internet is the mega-carrier, the mega-wave of new innovations. Our conclusion is voice is one of the things we should do, but there are many other things we will do in the coming months," he said.
Thursday, July 7, 2011
分享锦集:养成投资成功的习惯
Jul 1st, 2011 | By 冷眼 | Category: 分享锦集
影响一个人成功或失败的因素很多，其中之一就是他的习惯。
习惯是一个人重复做同一个动作所形成的，做得多了，就在不知不觉中成为他的身心的一部份，所谓习惯成自然是也。
养成习惯之后，当他处在同一个环境中时，他的潜意识就会指示他做同样的动作，他在不假思索的情况下去做，做得多了，就变成上瘾，一旦上瘾，就很难改掉，故习惯可改，上瘾难戒。
从“瘾”字的部首为“疒”，可以看出“瘾”是一种病态，除非有巨大的决心，瘾将陪一个人走完他痛苦的一生。
习惯有好坏之分，好的习惯使你一生受惠，坏的习惯戕害你一生。就以股票投资来说，如果你养成坏的投资习惯，而这习惯又慢慢的发展成“瘾”，那么你就不可能投资成功，最好的选择是退出股市。
天堂地狱一念间
正如我所说的，习惯未到上瘾的地步，是有可救之药的。如果你想在股市成功，请你现在就下决心，改掉使你失败的投资习惯。
改掉习惯的最好方法，就是以好的习惯代替坏的习惯。
因为在驱除坏习惯之后所留下的真空，如果没有新的东西填满它的话，坏习惯会故态复萌，重新抬头，那时要再扑灭它，就要有更大的决心，成功的机会就降低了。
所以，改掉坏习惯和培养好习惯，必须同步就行，才能奏效，使你的投资走上成功大道。
首先你一定要检讨你自己，你在股市一、二十年，竟然一无所获，以至搞到焦头烂额，足以证明你现在所用的方法是错误的，如果经过一、二十年都还赚不到钱，除非你改弦易辙，你不可能在股市赚钱，那是肯定的。
股市本身是中性的，如果你态度正确，股市将是一座金矿，如果你态度错误，股市将是你的坟墓。是走向天堂还是地狱，只是一念之间而已。
改掉坏习惯，从养成好习惯开始。
习惯1 买卖不应频仍
第一个导致大多数股票投资者失败的坏习惯，就是买卖过于频仍。
大部份人都有一种错误的想法，以为买卖越多，动作越快，赚钱就越多，殊不知适得其反。在股市中越活跃的人，越难赚钱，在股市中被烧伤手的都是那些抢进杀出的投机客。
股市中的“过动儿”，都是玩短线的投机客，短线投机必须有预测股市动向的能力，才有可能获利，而要预测短期股市的动向，几乎是不可能的事。
是的，预测偶尔会准确，但长期来说，失败的巴仙率肯定远远的超过成功率，如果你在股市中进出一、二十年，仍无法藉此累积财富，就证明此路不通，这是一条死胡同，越早离开对你越有利。
动作越少越好
有些人在股市中，动作频仍，养成了天天抢进杀出的习惯，到达了“成瘾”的地步，不买不卖，周身不自在。
尤其是在活跃的牛市中目睹“赌友”呼卢喝雉，他难耐寂寞，贪念顿起，就不知不觉加入战围，殊不知这是一条不归路，陷他自己和他的家人于万劫不复之地，实在可怜。
你如果想在股市赚钱，当务之急，就是马上减少交易的次数。
记住，动作越少越好，在股市累积财富的，都是不活跃的投资者。
马上戒掉短线投机的恶习，转而养成长期投资的好习惯，痛下决心，现在就改，不要等到明天，如果你找藉口，原谅自己，你将永远改不了。
习惯2 控制自己的情绪
第二个导致投资失败的坏习惯，就是不能控制你的情绪。
大部份失败者都是因为压制不了买进卖出的冲动。
他们的行动，是由情绪控制。
在熊市中，股价跌到离谱的低点，当股票价值被严重低估时，本来是最好的买进机会，但他们的心，被恐惧所笼罩，使他不敢买进，使买进良机，与他擦身而过。
在牛市中，股价已登峰造极，股票价值已被严重高估，原本是最好的卖出时机，但他抑制不了贪婪的驱使，反而高价买进，使他成为“高买”的牺牲品。
不轻信消息
股票就是公司的股份，买股份就是与人合股做生意，参股之前必须慎重考虑，才作出决定。
如果你在牛气冲天，或在一知半解的人的推荐下，或是受到谣言的驱使，未作深入的考量，就贸贸然投入巨资，你不大可能成功。
无论消息多么好，你都不可冲动，把动作放慢一些，最好是走到股票行外面，吸一口新鲜空气，使你的情绪平静下来，使你的头脑清醒过来。
你也许会突然发现，那个“消息”其实是一个陷阱，太好的消息，通常都不是好消息，不可轻信。
你有买进的冲动，是因为你怕失去机会，其实，那是过虑，你的投资经验丰富后，你会发现，你所买进的为你赚取庞大盈利的，都是经过深入思考之后才买进的好股，很少是在仓促间买进的“明星股”。
请不用担心失去机会，因为只要股市存在，机会就存在，没有买到一只股票，焉知不是塞翁失马？
所以，不要急，慢慢选，细细挑，上市公司1000家，你一定可以买到你心仪的好股。
习惯3 只信事实 不信意见
第三个习惯是只相信“事实”，不相信“意见”。
“事实”是以确实的资料作后盾，“意见”往往是一种猜测。
这是一只好股，因为它有长久的盈利纪录，有合理的股息，稳健的财政情况，可靠的掌舵人等等，这些都是年报中白纸黑字印出来的，并不是猜测，根据“事实”作出决定，可以减低风险，提高成功率。
如果有人说这是一只“好股”，但没办法提出事实来证明，这是“意见”，意见往往是免费的，可能是好的，但在大多数情况下是含有毒素的、信不得。
巴菲特说：“你的决定是正确的，因为你是根据事实作出的。”
大马股市有400万股民，每一个人意见不同，所以有400万种意见，但大马有1000家上市公司，每家上市公司只有一套事实和数据。
一家公司绝对不能有两种事实和数据，否则，可能会面对除牌的惩罚，故事实和数据可靠，意见不可靠，投资所涉及的款额动辄以万令吉计，怎可根据不可靠的意见作出投资决定呢？
你不觉得很荒谬吗？很幼稚吗？
习惯4 靠人不如靠己
第四个习惯是靠自己，不靠别人。
大部份投资者都有一个弱点，就是总喜欢问别人股市会起吗？会跌吗？什么股值得买？什么时候该卖等等。
自己不动脑筋，以别人的意见为依归，殊不知那个“别人”也并不比他高明，结果是问道于盲。
自己动手做功课吧，那才是长久之计，临渊羡鱼，不如退而结网。不要向别人讨鱼吃，自己学习捕鱼，那才是治本之道。
全球有70亿人口，就有70亿张不同的面孔，你绝对无法在这个世界上找到一模一样的两张脸孔。
同样的，400万大马股民，每个人的年龄、性格、想法、教养、价值观、人生观、态度，甚至嗜好，都完全不同，所以，你应该确立一套适合你应用，为你带来绩效的投资法。
如果此法长期为你赚到钱，就表示你找到了你的秘诀，坚持下去，不要三心两意，不要舍弃你的强点而采用别人的弱点。
钱是要你自己去赚的，别人没有替你赚钱的义务。
你亏了本，你有切肤之痛，别人却毫无感觉，他为什么要花精神为你筹划赚钱呢？
路要你自己去走，别人不能代你走，天下没有免费的午餐，一分耕耘一分收获，要别人“多朗”你，对你的智力是一种侮辱。
影响一个人成功或失败的因素很多，其中之一就是他的习惯。
习惯是一个人重复做同一个动作所形成的，做得多了，就在不知不觉中成为他的身心的一部份，所谓习惯成自然是也。
养成习惯之后，当他处在同一个环境中时，他的潜意识就会指示他做同样的动作，他在不假思索的情况下去做，做得多了，就变成上瘾，一旦上瘾，就很难改掉，故习惯可改，上瘾难戒。
从“瘾”字的部首为“疒”，可以看出“瘾”是一种病态，除非有巨大的决心，瘾将陪一个人走完他痛苦的一生。
习惯有好坏之分，好的习惯使你一生受惠，坏的习惯戕害你一生。就以股票投资来说，如果你养成坏的投资习惯，而这习惯又慢慢的发展成“瘾”，那么你就不可能投资成功，最好的选择是退出股市。
天堂地狱一念间
正如我所说的，习惯未到上瘾的地步，是有可救之药的。如果你想在股市成功，请你现在就下决心，改掉使你失败的投资习惯。
改掉习惯的最好方法，就是以好的习惯代替坏的习惯。
因为在驱除坏习惯之后所留下的真空，如果没有新的东西填满它的话，坏习惯会故态复萌，重新抬头，那时要再扑灭它，就要有更大的决心，成功的机会就降低了。
所以，改掉坏习惯和培养好习惯，必须同步就行，才能奏效，使你的投资走上成功大道。
首先你一定要检讨你自己，你在股市一、二十年，竟然一无所获，以至搞到焦头烂额，足以证明你现在所用的方法是错误的，如果经过一、二十年都还赚不到钱，除非你改弦易辙，你不可能在股市赚钱，那是肯定的。
股市本身是中性的，如果你态度正确，股市将是一座金矿，如果你态度错误，股市将是你的坟墓。是走向天堂还是地狱，只是一念之间而已。
改掉坏习惯，从养成好习惯开始。
习惯1 买卖不应频仍
第一个导致大多数股票投资者失败的坏习惯，就是买卖过于频仍。
大部份人都有一种错误的想法，以为买卖越多，动作越快，赚钱就越多，殊不知适得其反。在股市中越活跃的人，越难赚钱，在股市中被烧伤手的都是那些抢进杀出的投机客。
股市中的“过动儿”，都是玩短线的投机客，短线投机必须有预测股市动向的能力，才有可能获利，而要预测短期股市的动向，几乎是不可能的事。
是的，预测偶尔会准确，但长期来说，失败的巴仙率肯定远远的超过成功率，如果你在股市中进出一、二十年，仍无法藉此累积财富，就证明此路不通，这是一条死胡同，越早离开对你越有利。
动作越少越好
有些人在股市中，动作频仍，养成了天天抢进杀出的习惯，到达了“成瘾”的地步，不买不卖，周身不自在。
尤其是在活跃的牛市中目睹“赌友”呼卢喝雉，他难耐寂寞，贪念顿起，就不知不觉加入战围，殊不知这是一条不归路，陷他自己和他的家人于万劫不复之地，实在可怜。
你如果想在股市赚钱，当务之急，就是马上减少交易的次数。
记住，动作越少越好，在股市累积财富的，都是不活跃的投资者。
马上戒掉短线投机的恶习，转而养成长期投资的好习惯，痛下决心，现在就改，不要等到明天，如果你找藉口，原谅自己，你将永远改不了。
习惯2 控制自己的情绪
第二个导致投资失败的坏习惯，就是不能控制你的情绪。
大部份失败者都是因为压制不了买进卖出的冲动。
他们的行动，是由情绪控制。
在熊市中，股价跌到离谱的低点，当股票价值被严重低估时，本来是最好的买进机会，但他们的心，被恐惧所笼罩，使他不敢买进，使买进良机，与他擦身而过。
在牛市中，股价已登峰造极，股票价值已被严重高估，原本是最好的卖出时机，但他抑制不了贪婪的驱使，反而高价买进，使他成为“高买”的牺牲品。
不轻信消息
股票就是公司的股份，买股份就是与人合股做生意，参股之前必须慎重考虑，才作出决定。
如果你在牛气冲天，或在一知半解的人的推荐下，或是受到谣言的驱使，未作深入的考量，就贸贸然投入巨资，你不大可能成功。
无论消息多么好，你都不可冲动，把动作放慢一些，最好是走到股票行外面，吸一口新鲜空气，使你的情绪平静下来，使你的头脑清醒过来。
你也许会突然发现，那个“消息”其实是一个陷阱，太好的消息，通常都不是好消息，不可轻信。
你有买进的冲动，是因为你怕失去机会，其实，那是过虑，你的投资经验丰富后，你会发现，你所买进的为你赚取庞大盈利的，都是经过深入思考之后才买进的好股，很少是在仓促间买进的“明星股”。
请不用担心失去机会，因为只要股市存在，机会就存在，没有买到一只股票，焉知不是塞翁失马？
所以，不要急，慢慢选，细细挑，上市公司1000家，你一定可以买到你心仪的好股。
习惯3 只信事实 不信意见
第三个习惯是只相信“事实”，不相信“意见”。
“事实”是以确实的资料作后盾，“意见”往往是一种猜测。
这是一只好股，因为它有长久的盈利纪录，有合理的股息，稳健的财政情况，可靠的掌舵人等等，这些都是年报中白纸黑字印出来的，并不是猜测，根据“事实”作出决定，可以减低风险，提高成功率。
如果有人说这是一只“好股”，但没办法提出事实来证明，这是“意见”，意见往往是免费的，可能是好的，但在大多数情况下是含有毒素的、信不得。
巴菲特说：“你的决定是正确的，因为你是根据事实作出的。”
大马股市有400万股民，每一个人意见不同，所以有400万种意见，但大马有1000家上市公司，每家上市公司只有一套事实和数据。
一家公司绝对不能有两种事实和数据，否则，可能会面对除牌的惩罚，故事实和数据可靠，意见不可靠，投资所涉及的款额动辄以万令吉计，怎可根据不可靠的意见作出投资决定呢？
你不觉得很荒谬吗？很幼稚吗？
习惯4 靠人不如靠己
第四个习惯是靠自己，不靠别人。
大部份投资者都有一个弱点，就是总喜欢问别人股市会起吗？会跌吗？什么股值得买？什么时候该卖等等。
自己不动脑筋，以别人的意见为依归，殊不知那个“别人”也并不比他高明，结果是问道于盲。
自己动手做功课吧，那才是长久之计，临渊羡鱼，不如退而结网。不要向别人讨鱼吃，自己学习捕鱼，那才是治本之道。
全球有70亿人口，就有70亿张不同的面孔，你绝对无法在这个世界上找到一模一样的两张脸孔。
同样的，400万大马股民，每个人的年龄、性格、想法、教养、价值观、人生观、态度，甚至嗜好，都完全不同，所以，你应该确立一套适合你应用，为你带来绩效的投资法。
如果此法长期为你赚到钱，就表示你找到了你的秘诀，坚持下去，不要三心两意，不要舍弃你的强点而采用别人的弱点。
钱是要你自己去赚的，别人没有替你赚钱的义务。
你亏了本，你有切肤之痛，别人却毫无感觉，他为什么要花精神为你筹划赚钱呢？
路要你自己去走，别人不能代你走，天下没有免费的午餐，一分耕耘一分收获，要别人“多朗”你，对你的智力是一种侮辱。
Marubeni buying 43% stake in YTL Jawa Power for US$224mil
Friday July 8, 2011
PETALING JAYA: Marubeni Corp will acquire a 42.86% equity stake in YTL Jawa Power Holdings BV, which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of YTL Power International Bhd, for US$224mil (RM680.96mil).Upon completion of the acquisition, YTL Power is expected to realise a gain on disposal of RM210mil.
The share purchase agreement will enable Marubeni to co-invest in YTL Jawa Power Holdings BV, the company which holds YTL Power's 35% equity interest in PT Jawa Power, the owner of a 1,220 megawatt power station in Indonesia.
The acquisition by Marubeni will be undertaken via its wholly-owned subsidiary, Aster Power Holding BV, YTL Power said in a statement yesterday.
YTL Power executive director Datuk Yeoh Seok Hong said the transaction would enable Marubeni to co-invest with the company and will form the basis of a strategic partnership going forward.
“Marubeni is a strong and well-respected player in the international utilities market and this collaboration will enable YTL Power and Marubeni to cooperate on potential investments and the development of future opportunities in the global utilities industry,” he said in the statement.
PT Jawa Power owns a coal-fired power generation plant with an installed capacity of 1,220 megawatts located at the Paiton Power Generation Complex in Probolinggo, in East Java, Indonesia.
Chief operating officer (power projects and infrastructure division of Marubeni) Masumi Kakinoki said through the transaction, Marubeni would build a firm partnership with YTL as a strategic partner for future development not only in Asia but also all over the world.
“Marubeni intends to collaborate with YTL in multiple areas of infrastructure such as power, water and transportation for the further growth of Marubeni and YTL as global utility players,” he said.
YTL Power said in the statement that its growth strategy was to invest in long-term geographically diverse infrastructure assets, while concurrently achieving synergies across its portfolio of utility businesses.
“The YTL Power group is continuously seeking to develop and expand its presence in utility businesses both in Malaysia and offshore.”
YTL Power owns 100% stakes in Wessex Water Limited, a water and sewerage operator in Britain, PowerSeraya Ltd, which has a total licensed capacity of 3,100 megawatts representing approximately 25% of Singapore's licensed generation capacity and operates multi-utility businesses, and YTL Power Generation Sdn Bhd, an independent power producer which owns power stations with a combined generation capacity of 1,212 megawatts in Malaysia.
It also has an indirect 33.5% investment in ElectraNet Pty Ltd, the company which owns and operates the power transmission grid for South Australia under a 200-year concession.
By the star business news
Monday, July 4, 2011
Is Maybulk worth a second look?
KUALA LUMPUR: Although Malaysian Bulk Carriers Bhd’s (Maybulk) stock has been trading within a relatively stable range over the past one year, the past three months have seen the share price tank to its post-crisis levels back in December 2008.
Last Friday, the counter closed at RM2.13, a far cry from its peak of RM4.56 in April 2008. Year-to-date, Maybulk’s share price has declined some 24%.
The company, which transports dry bulk cargoes such as iron ore, coal and grains between continents, was badly hit by the global financial crisis in 2008. Its earnings have declined substantially over the last two years.
The group is not the only one suffering post crisis as other shipping companies, such as Swee Joo Bhd, have been in the red in the last two years.
While the global economy has picked up since then, the shipping industry is still reeling from the overbuilding of vessels during the glory days. The shipping industry, which was badly hit by the global financial crisis, seems far from a recovery as the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) continues to trend south.
Note that while commodity prices have skyrocketed since the 2008 financial crisis, shipping rates have moved in the opposite direction, pointing to severe over-capacity in the shipping industry.
The BDI, which tracks various dry bulk rates over routes on a time charter and voyage basis, is also trading near the post-crisis level at about 1,413 points. The index peaked at 11,793 points in May 2008 before plunging to a low of 663 points in December that year.
However, given that the index and Maybulk’s share price are close to their lows of December 2008, when every indicator was at its bleakest level, the question now is whether this is the bottom of the down-cycle.
Although Maybulk has been heading south, analysts said there is limited downside as prospects of lower earnings have already been priced in.
“From a share price perspective, it is already near liquidation level. Even if sentiment is badly affected by a potentially bad 2Q, the price may quickly rebound to its asset value,” an analyst told The Edge Financial Daily.
As at end-March 2011, Maybulk’s net assets per share was RM1.71.
Although earnings prospects may not be at their best, note that Maybulk is in the process of expanding its fleet, which may indicate that prices are at very depressed levels and may be near the lows.
Maybulk CEO Kuok Khoon Kuan has said now is the best time to buy vessels again as prices have come down and the company is looking at rebuilding its fleet after disposing some of it in 2008 at a good profit.
“Maybulk is mainly capitalising on the weakness in freight rates rather than looking at it as a bottom. So this appears to be an opportune time for them to buy vessels,” an analyst said.
Maybulk has sailed through the tides well and has been credited with being able to read the cycles well. While shipping companies were buying vessels when freight rates were at their peak, Maybulk made good money by reducing its fleet.
Although the company’s net profit halved in FY09 ended December, to RM243.8 million from RM460.9 million in the previous year, it was because there was a substantial gain from the disposal of vessels in 2008. In FY10, net profit fell only marginally to RM242.7 million.
Maybulk’s 1QFY11 results were a pleasant surprise despite the lull in the shipping industry. Thanks to foreign exchange gain, net profit for the quarter rose 2.5% to RM52.7 million from RM51.4 million in the previous corresponding quarter. This is despite revenue coming in lower at RM84.9 million from RM114.4 million previously, the result of a 28% fall in the hire rates.
Early this year, Maybulk’s directors expected the BDI to remain volatile and likely to get worse, citing overcapacity as a main concern.
CIMB Research upgraded the stock to “neutral” from “underperform” as Maybulk’s annualised 1Q core net profit worked out to 112% of its forecast. “We consider it to be 5% above expectations as we expect a weaker 2H after the mid-year expiry of the lucrative Tenaga [Nasional Bhd] contract,” CIMB said in a recent report.
The analyst noted that valuations for Maybulk were rather pricey at over 20 times price-earnings multiple compared with regional peers at 15 times. He added that Maybulk would be a laggard in an up-cycle because of its high valuations.
Notably, Maybulk has an attractive yield of about 4.7% but the analyst pointed out that most shipping companies have good yields.
“At the moment, recovery seems more likely to come later rather than sooner. But if you hold a long-term view, then Maybulk is worth a look now. More importantly, Maybulk is in a better position to leverage the up-cycle,” he said.
Last Friday, the counter closed at RM2.13, a far cry from its peak of RM4.56 in April 2008. Year-to-date, Maybulk’s share price has declined some 24%.
The company, which transports dry bulk cargoes such as iron ore, coal and grains between continents, was badly hit by the global financial crisis in 2008. Its earnings have declined substantially over the last two years.
The group is not the only one suffering post crisis as other shipping companies, such as Swee Joo Bhd, have been in the red in the last two years.
While the global economy has picked up since then, the shipping industry is still reeling from the overbuilding of vessels during the glory days. The shipping industry, which was badly hit by the global financial crisis, seems far from a recovery as the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) continues to trend south.
Note that while commodity prices have skyrocketed since the 2008 financial crisis, shipping rates have moved in the opposite direction, pointing to severe over-capacity in the shipping industry.
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However, given that the index and Maybulk’s share price are close to their lows of December 2008, when every indicator was at its bleakest level, the question now is whether this is the bottom of the down-cycle.
Although Maybulk has been heading south, analysts said there is limited downside as prospects of lower earnings have already been priced in.
“From a share price perspective, it is already near liquidation level. Even if sentiment is badly affected by a potentially bad 2Q, the price may quickly rebound to its asset value,” an analyst told The Edge Financial Daily.
As at end-March 2011, Maybulk’s net assets per share was RM1.71.
Although earnings prospects may not be at their best, note that Maybulk is in the process of expanding its fleet, which may indicate that prices are at very depressed levels and may be near the lows.
Maybulk CEO Kuok Khoon Kuan has said now is the best time to buy vessels again as prices have come down and the company is looking at rebuilding its fleet after disposing some of it in 2008 at a good profit.
“Maybulk is mainly capitalising on the weakness in freight rates rather than looking at it as a bottom. So this appears to be an opportune time for them to buy vessels,” an analyst said.
Maybulk has sailed through the tides well and has been credited with being able to read the cycles well. While shipping companies were buying vessels when freight rates were at their peak, Maybulk made good money by reducing its fleet.
Although the company’s net profit halved in FY09 ended December, to RM243.8 million from RM460.9 million in the previous year, it was because there was a substantial gain from the disposal of vessels in 2008. In FY10, net profit fell only marginally to RM242.7 million.
Maybulk’s 1QFY11 results were a pleasant surprise despite the lull in the shipping industry. Thanks to foreign exchange gain, net profit for the quarter rose 2.5% to RM52.7 million from RM51.4 million in the previous corresponding quarter. This is despite revenue coming in lower at RM84.9 million from RM114.4 million previously, the result of a 28% fall in the hire rates.
Early this year, Maybulk’s directors expected the BDI to remain volatile and likely to get worse, citing overcapacity as a main concern.
CIMB Research upgraded the stock to “neutral” from “underperform” as Maybulk’s annualised 1Q core net profit worked out to 112% of its forecast. “We consider it to be 5% above expectations as we expect a weaker 2H after the mid-year expiry of the lucrative Tenaga [Nasional Bhd] contract,” CIMB said in a recent report.
The analyst noted that valuations for Maybulk were rather pricey at over 20 times price-earnings multiple compared with regional peers at 15 times. He added that Maybulk would be a laggard in an up-cycle because of its high valuations.
Notably, Maybulk has an attractive yield of about 4.7% but the analyst pointed out that most shipping companies have good yields.
“At the moment, recovery seems more likely to come later rather than sooner. But if you hold a long-term view, then Maybulk is worth a look now. More importantly, Maybulk is in a better position to leverage the up-cycle,” he said.
Thursday, June 30, 2011
分享锦集:为何没有第二个巴菲特？（下）
Jun 25th, 2011 | By 冷眼 | Category: 分享锦集
是的，如果要成为第二个巴菲特，就非有巴菲特的“心法”不可，很少人能达到巴菲特的“心法”水平，所以很少人，甚至没有人可以成为第二个巴菲特。
但是，身为普通人的散户，也不必成为第二个巴菲特，只要能做到每年取得15%复利增长率的成绩，投资30年，到退休时就可以做到“财务自主”，做个有尊严的乐龄人。
身为凡夫俗子，我们只要坚持一些原则，脚踏实地进行投资，不投机，不取巧，就可以取得可观的投资成绩。
财富不能无中生有
这些原则包括：
1.一定要相信：财富不能“无中生有”，一定要有“价值”作为后盾，才能持久。没有价值的资产，就是“泡沫”，随时会消失。没有价值的股票，有如建在沙丘上的大厦，随时会倒塌。
2.没有成长的股票不会增值，成长时有时无，甚至负成长的股票价值飘浮不定，股价随之起舞，很难捉摸。
3.最好的股票，是盈利长期保持稳健成长的公司的股票，稳健但长期成长，胜过高成长但不稳健的股票。成长率不必高，只要年年取得15%以上的成长，就可以成为蓝筹股，值得长期持有。
4.价值“需要时间去创造，不能一蹴即成。果子需要时间成熟，树木需要时间成长，同样的，生意需要时间去完成。
生意是一种过程，从买原料，制成产品、销售、收账，每个环节都需要时间去完成，需要按步就班进行，绝无魔术可变。
你必须给时间让你所投资的公司去完成这个过程，为你创造价值，故投资宜长期，长期才能累积财富，并无捷径可循，快餐式的投资无法致富，快速致富根本行不通。
5.长期投资只需看股市大势，不必理会短期的波动，预测短期股市成功的巴仙率很低，不值得去尝试。
股市的运作有如一场球赛，你永远不知道对方会把球打向那一个方向。你不是他，怎么知道他在想什么？做什么？你又怎样能打败对手？
参与大马股市的，少说也有400万人，等于有400万种想法。庄子与惠子在濠梁上观鱼，庄子说：河中之鱼悠游自在，所以很快乐。惠子说：“子非鱼，安知鱼之乐？”（你不是鱼，怎么知道鱼快乐？）（庄子“秋水”）
同样的，你只是400万投资者之一，怎么知道其他399万9999名投资者在想什么？
股市只看大势即可
又何况世界每一个角落所发生的大事，都可能影响他们的想法，预测他们的动向是白费心机。故股市只看大势即可，不必理会短期波动，大势如潮汐，可以预测，短期波动如波浪，千变万化，根本不能预测。
股票投资，如果要取得大师般的超常成绩，就要有大师“心法”的层次，并非普通人可以做到，作为普通人，只要能取得超越大势的成绩，已属杰出投资者。
你若能坚持以上5原则，即使没有特出表现，要在退休时达到“财务自主”，绝对可能！
是的，如果要成为第二个巴菲特，就非有巴菲特的“心法”不可，很少人能达到巴菲特的“心法”水平，所以很少人，甚至没有人可以成为第二个巴菲特。
但是，身为普通人的散户，也不必成为第二个巴菲特，只要能做到每年取得15%复利增长率的成绩，投资30年，到退休时就可以做到“财务自主”，做个有尊严的乐龄人。
身为凡夫俗子，我们只要坚持一些原则，脚踏实地进行投资，不投机，不取巧，就可以取得可观的投资成绩。
财富不能无中生有
这些原则包括：
1.一定要相信：财富不能“无中生有”，一定要有“价值”作为后盾，才能持久。没有价值的资产，就是“泡沫”，随时会消失。没有价值的股票，有如建在沙丘上的大厦，随时会倒塌。
2.没有成长的股票不会增值，成长时有时无，甚至负成长的股票价值飘浮不定，股价随之起舞，很难捉摸。
3.最好的股票，是盈利长期保持稳健成长的公司的股票，稳健但长期成长，胜过高成长但不稳健的股票。成长率不必高，只要年年取得15%以上的成长，就可以成为蓝筹股，值得长期持有。
4.价值“需要时间去创造，不能一蹴即成。果子需要时间成熟，树木需要时间成长，同样的，生意需要时间去完成。
生意是一种过程，从买原料，制成产品、销售、收账，每个环节都需要时间去完成，需要按步就班进行，绝无魔术可变。
你必须给时间让你所投资的公司去完成这个过程，为你创造价值，故投资宜长期，长期才能累积财富，并无捷径可循，快餐式的投资无法致富，快速致富根本行不通。
5.长期投资只需看股市大势，不必理会短期的波动，预测短期股市成功的巴仙率很低，不值得去尝试。
股市的运作有如一场球赛，你永远不知道对方会把球打向那一个方向。你不是他，怎么知道他在想什么？做什么？你又怎样能打败对手？
参与大马股市的，少说也有400万人，等于有400万种想法。庄子与惠子在濠梁上观鱼，庄子说：河中之鱼悠游自在，所以很快乐。惠子说：“子非鱼，安知鱼之乐？”（你不是鱼，怎么知道鱼快乐？）（庄子“秋水”）
同样的，你只是400万投资者之一，怎么知道其他399万9999名投资者在想什么？
股市只看大势即可
又何况世界每一个角落所发生的大事，都可能影响他们的想法，预测他们的动向是白费心机。故股市只看大势即可，不必理会短期波动，大势如潮汐，可以预测，短期波动如波浪，千变万化，根本不能预测。
股票投资，如果要取得大师般的超常成绩，就要有大师“心法”的层次，并非普通人可以做到，作为普通人，只要能取得超越大势的成绩，已属杰出投资者。
你若能坚持以上5原则，即使没有特出表现，要在退休时达到“财务自主”，绝对可能！
分享锦集：为何没有第二个巴菲特？
Jun 24th, 2011 | By 冷眼 | Category: 分享锦集
世界500名最富有的人，都是靠经营某种事业成功而致富的，巴菲特是惟一“不事生产”，单靠股票投资而挤身世界500强者。他的财富，仅次於世界首富茨盖。
研究巴菲特成功秘诀的书，少说也有一两百种，模仿他的投资法的人，当不在少数，然而世上却未闻出现第二个巴菲特，何也？
实际上，在美国，曾有不少基金经理，师法巴菲特之投资法，对巴菲特亦步亦趋，却没有听说有那一个基金，创造了如巴菲特般的辉煌业绩。
不仅是巴菲特，其他投资大师，都成为无数投资者崇拜的偶像，如彼得林奇（Peter Lynn）、邓普顿（Sir John Teupleton）、菲力辉塞（Philip Fisher）、罗杰斯（Jim Rogers）等，都是投资界巨人，为基金投资者创造庞大的财富，本身也成为富豪。
这些杰出的投资家，都曾著书立说，与投资大众分享他们的投资经验，私淑这些大师的人，难以计数，然而却没有听说有第二个彼得林奇、邓普顿、菲力辉塞、罗杰斯的出现，何也？
原来学习任何的技艺，或从事任何的事业，都可以分为两个层次，第一个层次是“方法”，第二个层次是“心法”。
长期醖酿
所谓“戏法人人会变，巧妙各自不同”，师傅可以教你怎样变戏法，而且只要中等资质的人，都可以学会，因为这是“方法”，“方法”是基率的技术，但是如何把戏法变得“巧妙”，就要提升到“心法”的层次了，“心法”是天份。
领悟训练及经验的综合体，必须经过长期的醖酿才能得到，这就要靠徒弟自动自发的去摸索，去不断的练习，才有可能成功，所谓“熟能生巧”，要“巧”，必须“熟”，熟到极点，则“心法”自然水到渠成。
譬如打球，教练可以教你“方法”，但是要成为奥运会冠军，就要靠运动员本身的资质、领悟、训练及经验的累积，到了“庖丁解牛”时，“以神遇而不以目视，官知止而神欲行”（白话：用心神去领会而不必用眼睛去观看，器官（指手）的作用停止了，只是心神在运行操作）（庄子“养生主”）。
到了上下纵横皆如意的境界，“心法”就产生了。
又譬如武术，师傅可以教你如何使刀弄棍，而且一般资质的徒弟都学得懂，因为这是“方法”。
不假思索
但是，在迎敌时，你如何见招拆招，化解对方的攻势，就必须学到不假思索就作出反应的地步才行，如果你的招数停留在“方法”的层面，对方出招时你才来想一想用什么招数去应付，肯定一败涂地。
武艺练到不假思索，自然而然的出招的地步，才可以成为“高手”，“高手”必然有“心法”。
再譬如驾车，你的驾车技术必须到了不假思索就摆动驾驶盘的地步，才可以避免车祸。
如果你看到一只野狗突然奔出公路，你才来思索要把车子摆向何方，你准会出事，不假思索就把车子驾到左方或右方，避开野狗，其实就是“心法”在操作。
股票投资亦如此，尽人皆知低买高卖可以赚钱，何以那么多人赔本？何以在低的时候不买，高的时候不卖？为什么低不买却高买。高不卖却低卖？
因为你还停留在“方法”的层面，没有到达“心法”的层面。
在“方法”的层面，你在股价低跌时，希望跌得更低，所以始终不敢出手，也不知如何出手。
就好像只懂得花拳绣腿的武师，见对方使出一记“黑虎偷心”时，才来思索如何拆招，已是太迟了。
低不买，是因为你平时不做功课，不知股票的价值，所以不敢买进。
勤做功课做到“低买”
如果你平时勤做功课，对股票的价值了然於心，当股价跌到低水平时，你知道价值是被低估了，就自然而然的产生买进的胆识，做到“低买”。
让我举一个实例：去年当嘉利丹（Kretam）的股价徘徊在1令吉20仙的水平时，我曾向一些股友建议买进，但多数人的反应是“这是一只劣股”，不要买进。
因为他们所记得的，是10年前的嘉利丹，那时嘉里丹由于属下股票行、高达2亿多令吉的烂账而陷入困境，几乎没顶。
该公司进行业务重组，发出一系列的可赎回及不可赎回债券，这些债券利息和数额各异。
该公司靠着3万6000英亩油棕园的盈利，加上脱售一些非核心资产，逐步赎回债券，加以注销，经过了将近10年的奋斗，终於一步一步的还清债务。
到去年8月时终於无债一身轻，手头甚至还有数千万令吉的现金，试问一家在沙巴拥有3万6000英亩油棕园，完全没有负债的公司，怎么会出毛病？怎能称为“劣股”？
为什么嘉利丹会给投资者以“劣股”的印象？
原来该公司的债券有多种，利息和还期不同，该公司忍辱负重，默默地，一步一步地赎回，每年赎回的数额，胥视公司的盈利而定，除非肯下工夫去挖掘这些资料，又长期追踪该公司财务进展情况。
错失良机
否则，很难了解该公司的实况，到投资机会出现时，投资者脑海中只记得10年前嘉利丹陷困时的惨状，看不到火浴后重生的嘉利丹，就这样错过了低价买进嘉利丹的机会。
另一个原因是多数人不了解油棕园的价值。
目前沙巴油棕园每英亩的市价高达2万5000令吉，假如以每股1令吉20仙买进嘉利丹，等于以3亿令吉购买3万6000英亩油棕园，平均每英亩买价约为8000令吉，以8000令吉买进价值2万5000令吉的油棕园，风险何在？
为什么不买，因为不了解，不了解，是因为没做功课。
特此声明，我只是举嘉利丹为实例，说明何以投资者做不到“低买”，并非推荐投资者买进嘉利丹。
提升层次
毕竟现在嘉利丹的股价已直逼2令吉20仙，而不是1令吉20仙了。
如上所说，投资者若无法将自己提升到具有“心法”的层次，岂不是没机会在股市赚钱？
（上）
世界500名最富有的人，都是靠经营某种事业成功而致富的，巴菲特是惟一“不事生产”，单靠股票投资而挤身世界500强者。他的财富，仅次於世界首富茨盖。
研究巴菲特成功秘诀的书，少说也有一两百种，模仿他的投资法的人，当不在少数，然而世上却未闻出现第二个巴菲特，何也？
实际上，在美国，曾有不少基金经理，师法巴菲特之投资法，对巴菲特亦步亦趋，却没有听说有那一个基金，创造了如巴菲特般的辉煌业绩。
不仅是巴菲特，其他投资大师，都成为无数投资者崇拜的偶像，如彼得林奇（Peter Lynn）、邓普顿（Sir John Teupleton）、菲力辉塞（Philip Fisher）、罗杰斯（Jim Rogers）等，都是投资界巨人，为基金投资者创造庞大的财富，本身也成为富豪。
这些杰出的投资家，都曾著书立说，与投资大众分享他们的投资经验，私淑这些大师的人，难以计数，然而却没有听说有第二个彼得林奇、邓普顿、菲力辉塞、罗杰斯的出现，何也？
原来学习任何的技艺，或从事任何的事业，都可以分为两个层次，第一个层次是“方法”，第二个层次是“心法”。
长期醖酿
所谓“戏法人人会变，巧妙各自不同”，师傅可以教你怎样变戏法，而且只要中等资质的人，都可以学会，因为这是“方法”，“方法”是基率的技术，但是如何把戏法变得“巧妙”，就要提升到“心法”的层次了，“心法”是天份。
领悟训练及经验的综合体，必须经过长期的醖酿才能得到，这就要靠徒弟自动自发的去摸索，去不断的练习，才有可能成功，所谓“熟能生巧”，要“巧”，必须“熟”，熟到极点，则“心法”自然水到渠成。
譬如打球，教练可以教你“方法”，但是要成为奥运会冠军，就要靠运动员本身的资质、领悟、训练及经验的累积，到了“庖丁解牛”时，“以神遇而不以目视，官知止而神欲行”（白话：用心神去领会而不必用眼睛去观看，器官（指手）的作用停止了，只是心神在运行操作）（庄子“养生主”）。
到了上下纵横皆如意的境界，“心法”就产生了。
又譬如武术，师傅可以教你如何使刀弄棍，而且一般资质的徒弟都学得懂，因为这是“方法”。
不假思索
但是，在迎敌时，你如何见招拆招，化解对方的攻势，就必须学到不假思索就作出反应的地步才行，如果你的招数停留在“方法”的层面，对方出招时你才来想一想用什么招数去应付，肯定一败涂地。
武艺练到不假思索，自然而然的出招的地步，才可以成为“高手”，“高手”必然有“心法”。
再譬如驾车，你的驾车技术必须到了不假思索就摆动驾驶盘的地步，才可以避免车祸。
如果你看到一只野狗突然奔出公路，你才来思索要把车子摆向何方，你准会出事，不假思索就把车子驾到左方或右方，避开野狗，其实就是“心法”在操作。
股票投资亦如此，尽人皆知低买高卖可以赚钱，何以那么多人赔本？何以在低的时候不买，高的时候不卖？为什么低不买却高买。高不卖却低卖？
因为你还停留在“方法”的层面，没有到达“心法”的层面。
在“方法”的层面，你在股价低跌时，希望跌得更低，所以始终不敢出手，也不知如何出手。
就好像只懂得花拳绣腿的武师，见对方使出一记“黑虎偷心”时，才来思索如何拆招，已是太迟了。
低不买，是因为你平时不做功课，不知股票的价值，所以不敢买进。
勤做功课做到“低买”
如果你平时勤做功课，对股票的价值了然於心，当股价跌到低水平时，你知道价值是被低估了，就自然而然的产生买进的胆识，做到“低买”。
让我举一个实例：去年当嘉利丹（Kretam）的股价徘徊在1令吉20仙的水平时，我曾向一些股友建议买进，但多数人的反应是“这是一只劣股”，不要买进。
因为他们所记得的，是10年前的嘉利丹，那时嘉里丹由于属下股票行、高达2亿多令吉的烂账而陷入困境，几乎没顶。
该公司进行业务重组，发出一系列的可赎回及不可赎回债券，这些债券利息和数额各异。
该公司靠着3万6000英亩油棕园的盈利，加上脱售一些非核心资产，逐步赎回债券，加以注销，经过了将近10年的奋斗，终於一步一步的还清债务。
到去年8月时终於无债一身轻，手头甚至还有数千万令吉的现金，试问一家在沙巴拥有3万6000英亩油棕园，完全没有负债的公司，怎么会出毛病？怎能称为“劣股”？
为什么嘉利丹会给投资者以“劣股”的印象？
原来该公司的债券有多种，利息和还期不同，该公司忍辱负重，默默地，一步一步地赎回，每年赎回的数额，胥视公司的盈利而定，除非肯下工夫去挖掘这些资料，又长期追踪该公司财务进展情况。
错失良机
否则，很难了解该公司的实况，到投资机会出现时，投资者脑海中只记得10年前嘉利丹陷困时的惨状，看不到火浴后重生的嘉利丹，就这样错过了低价买进嘉利丹的机会。
另一个原因是多数人不了解油棕园的价值。
目前沙巴油棕园每英亩的市价高达2万5000令吉，假如以每股1令吉20仙买进嘉利丹，等于以3亿令吉购买3万6000英亩油棕园，平均每英亩买价约为8000令吉，以8000令吉买进价值2万5000令吉的油棕园，风险何在？
为什么不买，因为不了解，不了解，是因为没做功课。
特此声明，我只是举嘉利丹为实例，说明何以投资者做不到“低买”，并非推荐投资者买进嘉利丹。
提升层次
毕竟现在嘉利丹的股价已直逼2令吉20仙，而不是1令吉20仙了。
如上所说，投资者若无法将自己提升到具有“心法”的层次，岂不是没机会在股市赚钱？
（上）
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